Expired predictions
- T.W.M. van Berkel -

Nederlandse versie

Epistle to Henry II

...I say that I, if I would wanted to, could give the date for each quatrain; I could do so by means of astrology as by other means

The quatrains and letters contain numerous predictions, but only a few fulfilment data.
One of the points of view of the investigation on which Nostradamus, astrology and the Bible is based, is that the predictions of Nostradamus can only be compared with the course of history, if the fulfilment date which he calculated is known.
The investigation showed that a number of predictions in the quatrains and the letters are expired. These predictions were compared with what happened in the past.


Expired predictions in the Letter to Cesar 


Letter to Cesar
...Counting from the moment I write this, the world will be visited by pestilence, long famine and wars within one hundred and seventy seven years, three months and eleven days...

The number of predictions in the letter to Cesar is very small. The prediction, quoted above, is the only one which is expired. It covers a time span from March 1, 1555, the date of the letter to Cesar, to June 12, 1732, Julian calendar.[1]
In the period 1555 - 1732 there has been pestilence and wars. Undoubtedly, the state of nutrition has been disastrous from time to time. So this prediction seems to be fulfilled.
This prediction, however, has a general character. Nostradamus did not mention countries or data on which climaxes of pestilence, long famine or wars occurred. He also does not explain what is special about June 12, 1732. This prediction is a prediction which leads to more questions instead of giving concrete facts about countries and data.


  1. In this article, all data are according to the Julian calendar. According to the Gregorian calendar, June 12, 1732 is June 23, 1732. [text]


Expired predictions in the Epistle to Henry II 


Epistle to Henry II

(the first set of predictions)
...I start in the present, which is March 14, 1557, and from there I go far into the future until what will come at the beginning of the seventh millennium, which is thoroughly calculated as far as my astronomical calculations and other knowledge reach, on which the number of adversaries of Jesus Christ and his Church will strongly increase...

(the second set of predictions)
...From that year, there will begin a persecution from the Church, much more severe than ever took place in Africa, and it will last until the year seventeen hundred and ninety two, which will be seen as a renewal of time...

...This will be close to the seventh millennium, when the sanctuary of Jesus Christ no longer will be attacked by the non-believers who come from the North...

The letter to Henry II is dated on June 27, 1558 and precedes the eighth, ninth and tenth century, the remaining part of the Prophecies.
The quotations from the letter to Henry II deal with two separate sets of predictions. The first quotation precedes the first Biblical chronology. This chronology is based on the Bible, astrology and ideas of Nostradamus. After this chronology, the first set of predictions is given. The second and third quotation deal with the second set of predictions. This set of predictions is opened by a list of retrogradation periods, zodiacal longitudes and astrological aspects. This list is preceded by a second Biblical chronology. This chronology is based on the Bible.


The first set of predictions
The first set of predictions cover a time span of more or less 270 years. The period begins at March 14, 1557. The closing date is April 25, 1827. On this date, the sixth millennium moves into the seventh. Nostradamus mentions the opening date, but not the closing date of the first set of predictions. This closing date is a result of the investigation on which Nostradamus, astrology and the Bible is based.
The context of the first quotations shows that the first set of predictions is a summary of the quatrains which deal with this period. The prediction system which has been used, is the CD4-system, the system Nostradamus used while calculating years of fulfilment for the quatrains.
[1] The first set of predictions does not contain fulfilment years, not even hints to fulfilment years. Nostradamus mentions three periods of reign: one which lasts 18 years, one which lasts 73 years and 7 months and one which lasts 7 years. It is impossible to date these periods.
The first set of predictions can not be verified. However, the date March 14, 1557, leads to the conclusion that there are no quatrains in the eighth, ninth or tenth century which will be fulfilled before that date. The beginning date of the time span of the quatrains is March 1, 1555, on which date Nostradamus wrote his letter to Cesar.


The second set of predictions
The second set of predictions runs from January 1, 1606, until April 25, 3827, the date on which the eighth millennium ends and, according to Nostradamus, the Last Judgment will take place and the world will come to an end. Nostradamus does not mention these data. They are the result of the investigation on which Nostradamus, astrology and the Bible is based.
The foundation of the second set of predictions is not formed by visions. Nostradamus founded these predictions entirely on judiciary astrology. In these predictions, he explained astrological aspects which occurred from January 1, 1606, until February 24, 1607. He calculated years of fulfilment with the CD100-system.

Nostradamus starts the second set of predictions with the announcement that a severe persecution of the Church will take place from 1606 until 1792. This prediction covers a time span of 186 years. It is too vague to verify; Nostradamus does not mention countries or important years in this period. The course of history does not show a long, systematic persecution of the Christian Church in the period 1606 - 1792. As far as can be seen, this prediction turned out not to be fulfilled.
Nostradamus writes that, according to many people, the year 1792 marks a renewal in time. A number of investigators say this prediction is fulfilled in detail. In France, the Republic was proclaimed on September 21, 1792, and a new calendar system was introduced in October 1793. Nostradamus however writes about a renewal of time because of the end of the persecution of the Church. In the letter to Henry II, there are no predictions which deal with the French Revolution.
Next, Nostradamus describes events which, according to him, will occur between 1792 and 1827, the beginning of the seventh millennium. He does not mention years of fulfilment. The time span of these predictions is short, 37 years, and permits a brief analysis.
According to Nostradamus, shortly after 1792 the power of Venice will increase. What happened, was diametrically opposed to his prediction. In 1797, Napoleon put an end to the existence of the Venice Republic.
In the period 1792 - 1827, Byzantic and Liguric sails would join each other. Probably Nostradamus means a fusion of Ottoman and Genuese fleets. This did not happen. Neither a battle in the Adriatic Sea happened.

Persecution of the Church and the Pope
Nostradamus predicts for the period 1792 - 1827 a new persecution for the Church and its "true Vicar", and kings will come to a malicious alliance. What happened, was that during the French Revolution, Pope Pius VI condemned the new French constitution. He was captured when Rome was conquered in 1798 and died in Valence in 1799. In 1801, Pius VII, his successor, closed a concordat with France. Pius VII was present when Napoleon was crowned emperor. However, Pius VII refused to close a political alliance with Napoleon. Napoleon ordered that Pius VII had to be arrested, which happened on July 6, 1809. Pius VII was kept in prison in Savona, and was transferred to Fontainebleau in 1812. There was no malicious alliance of a number of kings, neither did Napoleon persecute the Church. 
If Nostradamus was referring to the period 1798 - 1809, this prediction is partially fulfilled. Nostradamus however does not mention years, so this prediction can not be verified.

Napoleon: the "second Antichrist" or the "Gallic Ogmyos"?
Napoleon had political power over the Church. He might have been the "second Antichrist" about who Nostradamus writes in his letter to Henry II. The reign of this "second Antichrist" is put to an end by someone who operates from Lyon, the "city of Plancus". This was not the case. The British, the Austrians, Germans and Russians were the sworn enemies of Napoleon.
Next, Nostradamus writes about the "Gallic Ogmyos", a French sovereign who will build a great empire. This sovereign comes after the "second Antichrist". This means that Napoleon, although he has build a great empire, can not be connected with the "Gallic Ogmyos". And if there would be a correspondence between Napoleon and the "Gallic Ogmyos", he can not be connected with the "second Antichrist".
Nostradamus predicts deluges which will take place in this period. He does not mention years, countries, regions or the like. This prediction can not be verified.

Contradictory predictions regarding the Church
Nostradamus predicts a general peace and the end of the trials of the Church close to 1827, the year in which the sixth millennium moves into the seventh. The French empire ended in 1814. The situation in Europe returned to normal. Pope Pius VII was released. He founded new dioceses and restored the order of the Jesuits. The course of history seems to confirm the predictions of Nostradamus.
Regarding the Church, however, the predictions are in contradiction with what Nostradamus writes in the first set of predictions. There he writes that from 1827 the number of adversaries of the Church will increase strongly. In the second set of predictions, he writes that in 1827 the persecution will come to an end. According to the second set of predictions, a long persecution of the Church would begin in 1606. In the first set of predictions, which runs from 1555 to 1827, there is not a single reference to a long persecution from 1606 to 1792 and from 1792 to 1827.
The cause of this contradiction is the simultaneous use of two prediction systems which are entirely different from each other:

First set of predictions Second set of predictions
Time span 14-03-1557 - 25-04-1827 01-01-1606 - 25-04-1827
Progression system CD4-system CD100-system
Way of counseling What: visions
Where: astrology
When: astrology
What: astrology
Where: astrology
When: astrology
Period of counseling 16-10-1524 - 27-02-1554 01-01-1606 - 24-02-1607

The two prediction systems differ from each other in time span, progression system, way of counseling and period of counseling. Two different systems used simultaneously do not always cause trouble; in for example native astrology, most of the time several prediction systems are used simultaneously. But in native astrology, all these prediction systems are related to the birth chart, whereas the CD4-system and the CD100-system are not related to one and the same chart.
The simultaneous use of two entirely different prediction systems without a chart to which they are related, leads irrevocably to predictions which are contradictory with each other.


  1. The CD4-system is described on the page prediction systems. [text]

  2. See for example the analysis of  quatrain 03-56. [text]

  3. The CD100-system is described on the page prediction systems. [text]


Expired predictions in the quatrains 


Quatrain 01-25
Lost, found, hidden for such a long time
The pastor will be honored as a demigod.
Before the Moon finishes its full period
He will be dishonored by other winds.

Quatrain 01-62
Alas, what a great loss will letters suffer,
Before the cycle of Latona is completed;
Fire, great deluge more through ignorant rulers
Than will be seen made up for a long time.

Quatrain 08-49
Saturn in Bull, Jupiter in water, Mars in the arrow:
Sixth of February will bring mortality.
Those of Tardaigne at Bruges so great a breach,
That the Barbarian chief will die at Ponteroso.

Quatrain 09-55
The horrible war which is being prepared in the West
The following year will come the pestilence
So very horrible that young, old, nor beast
Blood, fire Mercury, Mars, Jupiter in France.

Quatrain 09-73
The Blue Turban King entered into Foix
And he will reign less than a rotation of Saturn.
The White Turban King Byzantium heart banished,
Sun, Mars and Mercury near the urn.

Quatrain 01-25
In the third line, Nostradamus refers to 1827, the year in which the sixth millennium ends. The Moon rules the sixth millennium. His prediction is valid for the years before 1827. It is not clear which year Nostradamus has in mind. It is also not clear which country he has in mind. This prediction is too vague to be verified.

Quatrain 01-62
In the second line, Nostradamus mentions the name Latona. This is another name for the Moon. As in quatrain 01-25, also in quatrain 01-62 Nostradamus refers to the year 1827, the end of the sixth millennium, ruled by the Moon. The prediction deals with science or literature. Once again, it is not clear what Nostradamus has in mind. There is a lack of years, countries and concrete events. This prediction is too vague to be verified.

Quatrain 08-49 
In the first line, Nostradamus refers to an astrological configuration in which Saturn is in Taurus, Jupiter in Cancer and Mars in Sagittarius. Calculations, based on the CD4-system, show that this configuration took place on August 25, 1527, 02:10:54 G.M.T. The date of fulfilment is February 6, 1776, Julian calendar, which is February 17, 1776, according to the Gregorian calendar.
Around February 17, 1776, there was no battle at or close to Bruges. Also, no decease is known of a Barbarian (Algerian) leader.
This prediction turned out not to be fulfilled.

Quatrain 09-55
In the fourth line, Nostradamus refers to an astrological configuration, in which Mercury, Mars and Jupiter are in Leo, the sign which rules France. In the "imagination period", the period form October 16, 1524, until February 27, 1554, in which Nostradamus got visions, this configuration took place from July 10 until July 20, 1528. In the investigation, July 15, 1528, was taken as the supposed date of the vision on which this quatrain is founded. On July 15, 1528, Mars, Jupiter and Mercury were most close to each other. The zodiacal longitude of Mercury was 2:28:45 Leo, the zodiacal longitude of Mars was 1:08:23 Leo and the zodiacal longitude of Jupiter was 4:35:28 Leo. These three planets were in conjunction with the Sun on 1:28:21 Leo. The CD4-system shows that the horrible war which is prepared in the West, will begin shortly after 1844. There will be pestilence in the period from December 15, 1844, Gregorian calendar. All this will occur in France.
Around 1844, no outbreak of pestilence took place. Neither a terrible war, described in this quatrain. The Crimea war, which began in 1853, was not prepared in the West and did not take place in Western Europe. Facts were that Russia attacked Turkey and that Turkey got support from France, Great-Britain and Austria.

The predictions in this quatrain were not fulfilled.

Quatrain 09-73
In the research upon which Nostradamus, astrology and the Bible is based, it is supposed that the word Urn in the fourth line, in which is written that the Sun, Mercury and Mars are quite close to it, is a reference to the constellation Crater in the zodiacal sign of Virgo. In the "imagination period", which ran from 1524 to 1553, it was only once when the Sun, Mercury and Mars were in conjunction close to the beginning of the constellation Crater. This was on August 18, 1530. The zodiacal longitude of the Sun was 4 Virgo, Mars was on 5 Virgo and Mercury, retrograde, on 6 Virgo. According to the CD4-system, quatrain 09-73 was written around August 18, 1530. Its fulfillment date is October 4, 2006, Gregorian calendar. The king, mentioned in the first line, reigns for a period shorter than 29 years and 168 days, i.e. shorter than a complete cycle of Saturn through the Zodiac.
In October 2006, nothing happened which even has the slightest correspondence with the contents of quatrain 09-73.



In the second set of predictions, Nostradamus describes a persecution of the Church and its true keeper for the period 1792-1827. This prediction seems to be fulfilled, but the predictions for the Church in the second set of predictions are in contradiction with the ones in the first set of predictions. This is caused by the simultaneous use of two prediction systems which are entirely different. Such a practice irrevocably results in a wrong prediction.
Somewhere else on this site, the value of the predictions in the quatrains and letters is described.
[1] As far as the expired predictions are concerned, the conclusion is that they are either too vague to be evaluated, not fulfilled at all or contain contradictions, by which the credibility is reduced.


T.W.M. van Berkel
updated on August 6, 2011



  1. See the page the value of the predictions. [text]


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